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Visibility forecast — how to read it

The visibility map shows forecast horizontal surface visibility in kilometres, derived from the DWD ICON-D2 model. Together with ceiling, it's what determines the GAFOR category and whether the day is legally VFR.

What the field actually is

ICON-D2 emits a diagnostic visibility field that combines relative humidity, precipitation type, and aerosol load into a single ground-level distance. It's the model's estimate of what a pilot would report as prevailing visibility — not a direct METAR measurement.

How to read the colors

When it matters most

Fog and mist are visibility problems, not ceiling problems. On a calm autumn morning you can have an unlimited ceiling and 500 m visibility — the sky is clear, but you can't see the airfield. Visibility is what tells you.

Model caveats — fog is fast

Real-world visibility in fog can change over minutes; ICON-D2 works on a 15-minute (RUC) or hourly time step and is smoothed to the 2.1 km grid. Treat the visibility map as a heads-up that fog is likely, not a guarantee that a specific airfield will be open. For go/no-go inside 3 hours, cross-check current METARs.

Conversely, precipitation-driven low visibility (rain, snow) tends to track well — the model resolves the precipitation shield, and the visibility field follows it.